The Minnesota Timberwolves will look to eliminate the shorthanded Golden State Warriors when they meet in Game 5 of their Western Conference semifinal series on Wednesday. Point guard Stephen Curry remains out with a hamstring injury. The Warriors (48-34), who are looking to reach the Western Conference finals for the first time since 2021-2022, are 3-3 on the road this postseason. The Timberwolves (49-33), who look to reach the conference finals for the second year in a row, are 3-1 on their home court in the playoffs.
Tipoff from Target Center in Minneapolis is set for 9:30 p.m. ET. Minnesota is coming off a 117-110 win in Game 4 on Monday. The Timberwolves are 11-point favorites in the latest Warriors vs. Timberwolves odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 202.5. Before making any Timberwolves vs. Warriors picks, check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the second week of the conference semifinals of the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 159-117 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 23-11 (68%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has simulated Warriors vs. Timberwolves 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Timberwolves vs. Warriors:
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves spread: Minnesota -11 at DraftKings
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves over/under: 202.5 points
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves money line: Minnesota -559, Golden State +414
- GS: The Warriors are 4-3 against the spread in their last seven games
- MIN: The Timberwolves have hit the team total over in 36 of their last 55 games (+13.90 units)
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Timberwolves can cover
Shooting guard Anthony Edwards has scored 30 or more points in each of the last two games of the series. In Monday’s Game 4, he poured in 30 points, while adding five assists, four rebounds and two steals. In Game 3, he scored 36 points, while adding four assists and four rebounds. In nine postseason starts this year, he is averaging 27 points, 8.1 rebounds, 5.2 assists and 1.6 steals in 39.8 minutes. He had a near double-double in Game 4 of a 116-113 win over the Los Angeles Lakers in the first round on April 27, scoring 43 points, while adding nine rebounds and six assists.
Power forward Julius Randle has also been dominant. He is coming off a 31-point, five-rebound and three-assist performance in Monday’s Game 4 win. He had a triple-double in Saturday’s 102-97 win in Game 3, scoring 24 points, while adding 12 assists, 10 rebounds and three steals. In nine playoff starts, he is averaging 23.3 points, six assists and 5.7 rebounds in 37.1 minutes. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why the Warriors can cover
With Curry out once again, Golden State will need small forward Jimmy Butler to help pick up the scoring slack. He scored 33 points, while grabbing seven rebounds and dishing out seven assists in Game 3 loss on Saturday. He registered a double-double with 20 points, 11 rebounds and eight assists in a 99-88 Game 1 win on May 6. In 10 playoff starts, Butler is averaging 19.4 points, 6.7 rebounds, 5.1 assists and 1.1 steals in 35.5 minutes.
Shooting guard Buddy Hield is one of four Golden State players averaging double-digit scoring. He had 24 points, eight rebounds and three assists in the Game 1 win over the Timberwolves. He scored 15 points with three rebounds in a 117-93 loss in Game 2. In 11 playoff games, including eight starts, he is averaging 12.9 points, 3.5 rebounds, 1.8 assists and 1.1 steals in 27.1 minutes. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Warriors vs. Timberwolves picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated Warriors vs. Timberwolves 10,000 times and is leaning over the total, projecting 205 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.
So who wins Warriors vs. Timberwolves, and which side of the spread cashes in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Warriors vs. Timberwolves spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.